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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.38+3.81vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.67+6.01vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.77+0.56vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-1.10+4.92vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.32-1.16vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.74+1.02vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.00-4.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.62-1.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.93-1.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.79-2.82vs Predicted
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12McGill University-1.51-1.96vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.69-2.22vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Brown University0.3811.4%1st Place
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8.01Bates College-0.673.2%1st Place
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3.56Northeastern University0.7721.6%1st Place
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8.92Bentley University-1.102.5%1st Place
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6.9Middlebury College-0.375.7%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island0.3212.1%1st Place
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8.02Fairfield University-0.744.5%1st Place
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3.49Connecticut College1.0021.3%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont-0.624.0%1st Place
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8.35Salve Regina University-0.934.2%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.793.7%1st Place
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10.04McGill University-1.512.8%1st Place
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10.78Amherst College-1.691.7%1st Place
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11.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.041.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 21.6% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Masiello | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| William Hurd | 21.3% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Alex Anderson | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 23.5% |
| Iain Gillespie | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.