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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+2.56vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.00+1.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.38+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.62+3.53vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.37+2.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.79+2.14vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10+2.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.93+0.39vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.74-1.02vs Predicted
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10McGill University-1.51+0.32vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.67-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.53-7.48vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.69-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Northeastern University0.7722.5%1st Place
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3.5Connecticut College1.0021.2%1st Place
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4.76Brown University0.3812.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Vermont-0.624.8%1st Place
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7.1Middlebury College-0.374.6%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.793.5%1st Place
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9.22Bentley University-1.102.2%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University-0.933.3%1st Place
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7.98Fairfield University-0.744.0%1st Place
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10.32McGill University-1.511.7%1st Place
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8.02Bates College-0.674.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Rhode Island0.5312.7%1st Place
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10.5Amherst College-1.692.2%1st Place
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11.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 22.5% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 21.2% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Silvers | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 20.9% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.