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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+2.66vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.00+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.62+4.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.38+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.53-0.51vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37+0.98vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10+2.03vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.93+0.42vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.51+1.24vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.67-2.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.79-2.91vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.74-3.99vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.69-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Northeastern University0.7720.1%1st Place
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3.49Connecticut College1.0021.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont-0.624.0%1st Place
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4.93Brown University0.3811.7%1st Place
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4.49University of Rhode Island0.5315.2%1st Place
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6.98Middlebury College-0.375.5%1st Place
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9.03Bentley University-1.102.8%1st Place
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8.42Salve Regina University-0.933.5%1st Place
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10.24McGill University-1.511.7%1st Place
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7.91Bates College-0.673.9%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.793.5%1st Place
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8.01Fairfield University-0.744.2%1st Place
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10.75Amherst College-1.691.4%1st Place
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11.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.041.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 20.1% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 21.5% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Charles Case | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Iain Gillespie | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.