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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.53+3.48vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.77+1.70vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.00+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04+7.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.79+3.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.38-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.62+0.65vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-0.91vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.74-1.07vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.67-2.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93-2.59vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.10-2.78vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.51-2.89vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.69-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of Rhode Island0.5313.5%1st Place
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3.7Northeastern University0.7718.2%1st Place
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3.39Connecticut College1.0024.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.041.3%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.793.7%1st Place
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4.94Brown University0.3812.3%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont-0.624.3%1st Place
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7.09Middlebury College-0.375.5%1st Place
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7.93Fairfield University-0.744.4%1st Place
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7.98Bates College-0.674.0%1st Place
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8.41Salve Regina University-0.933.6%1st Place
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9.22Bentley University-1.102.1%1st Place
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10.11McGill University-1.511.4%1st Place
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10.64Amherst College-1.691.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Silvers | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 18.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 24.1% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Iain Gillespie | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 36.8% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Charles Case | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.