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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.53+3.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.79+6.54vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.00+0.43vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-1.10+5.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.38+0.01vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04+5.08vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.93+0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.62-1.10vs Predicted
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10McGill University-1.51+0.58vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.67-2.63vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-1.69-0.82vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.53-2.41vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.74-5.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.77-11.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Rhode Island0.5314.2%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.793.5%1st Place
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3.43Connecticut College1.0023.2%1st Place
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9.65Bentley University-1.102.5%1st Place
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5.01Brown University0.3811.8%1st Place
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7.28Middlebury College-0.374.4%1st Place
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12.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.040.5%1st Place
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8.69Salve Regina University-0.933.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont-0.624.2%1st Place
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10.58McGill University-1.512.5%1st Place
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8.37Bates College-0.673.9%1st Place
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11.18Amherst College-1.691.6%1st Place
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10.59Wesleyan University-1.531.6%1st Place
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8.27Fairfield University-0.744.2%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University0.7718.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Silvers | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Murphy Olson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| William Hurd | 23.2% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Charles Case | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 31.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Petrush | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Alex Anderson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| Katie Estep | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 18.8% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.