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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+7.83vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+5.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+1.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.03vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.22vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+5.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.23vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.02-0.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51+1.26vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-4.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-1.87vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-5.62vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-7.47vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-4.84vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.09-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Boston College2.096.5%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University3.3014.9%1st Place
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8.69Brown University2.045.5%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.7512.3%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.045.0%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University2.388.3%1st Place
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12.05College of Charleston1.452.3%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.2%1st Place
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8.97Tulane University2.024.3%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College1.513.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.719.4%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Pennsylvania1.451.9%1st Place
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12.13Tufts University1.152.2%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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8.53Georgetown University2.206.1%1st Place
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12.16North Carolina State University1.262.2%1st Place
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12.16University of South Florida1.092.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 19.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.