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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.92vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+2.25vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+2.39vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+1.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.14vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.02-1.97vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-3.21vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.10-3.71vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-2.04vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-3.67vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.15-3.58vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-4.88vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.26-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Dartmouth College2.7513.6%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University3.3015.8%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.044.8%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.719.0%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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8.39Brown University2.046.5%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University2.205.7%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.032.9%1st Place
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13.14University of Pennsylvania1.451.8%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University2.024.7%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.096.2%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University2.104.4%1st Place
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11.96College of Charleston1.452.1%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College1.512.5%1st Place
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12.42Tufts University1.152.6%1st Place
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12.12University of South Florida1.092.3%1st Place
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12.39North Carolina State University1.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 20.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Grace Squires | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.