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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.71vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+2.25vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+4.29vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-1.99vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-0.17vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51+0.97vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45+1.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15+0.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.43vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.02-4.97vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.72vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.09-7.05vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-4.96vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.09-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Stanford University3.3016.7%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University2.206.3%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.045.2%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.7110.2%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University2.105.7%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University2.387.4%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.0%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.7510.4%1st Place
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8.83Brown University2.045.9%1st Place
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10.97Bowdoin College1.513.6%1st Place
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12.12College of Charleston1.452.6%1st Place
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12.32Tufts University1.152.5%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.5%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
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13.28University of Pennsylvania1.451.5%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.094.7%1st Place
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12.04North Carolina State University1.261.8%1st Place
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11.85University of South Florida1.092.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| Grace Squires | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 21.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.