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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+7.88vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+7.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+1.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.98vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+3.61vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+3.01vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.27vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-2.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.15+3.36vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51+1.30vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-4.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.45vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.45-1.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.12vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.26-2.70vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.94vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.09-5.01vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Boston College2.095.1%1st Place
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9.34Harvard University2.104.8%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University3.3016.6%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.032.8%1st Place
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8.61Brown University2.044.9%1st Place
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9.01Tulane University2.025.2%1st Place
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7.27Cornell University2.387.6%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.7511.6%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University1.151.9%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College1.513.6%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.7110.2%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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11.96College of Charleston1.452.6%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy2.044.5%1st Place
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12.3North Carolina State University1.262.9%1st Place
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13.06University of Pennsylvania1.452.4%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida1.092.7%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Grace Squires | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 20.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.