Race 1B

neisa-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Brady 26.5% 21.8% 14.5% 12.8% 9.1% 7.3% 4.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Laura Dunphy 14.8% 17.1% 14.4% 14.1% 12.0% 10.9% 7.7% 5.7% 2.9% 0.4%
Ryan Morrison 14.3% 12.7% 15.4% 12.8% 15.1% 12.1% 8.6% 5.8% 2.8% 0.4%
Angus Page 6.2% 8.3% 9.6% 10.4% 12.4% 13.0% 13.5% 12.9% 11.1% 2.6%
Timothy Harding 13.6% 13.5% 13.6% 13.4% 13.6% 11.2% 9.6% 7.3% 3.4% 0.8%
Andrew Morgan 6.1% 4.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.8% 11.3% 11.9% 15.6% 19.7% 9.0%
John Duncan 6.2% 8.5% 11.0% 10.6% 10.2% 12.0% 16.2% 13.2% 8.6% 3.5%
Zach Shapiro 3.4% 3.7% 5.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.9% 10.1% 17.1% 26.6% 13.2%
Hollister Poole 7.8% 9.0% 8.0% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 13.9% 15.7% 9.2% 2.3%
Josh Basseches 1.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 4.5% 14.5% 67.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.