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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+8.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+4.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+6.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.00vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30-0.05vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.37vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+5.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+3.43vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-2.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60+0.80vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.02-1.97vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.04-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.45+0.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-1.46vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-6.41vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-3.74vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.10-7.43vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.045.3%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College2.7510.5%1st Place
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9.03Boston College2.095.0%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.3%1st Place
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4.95Stanford University3.3016.0%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University2.387.7%1st Place
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12.06College of Charleston1.453.3%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College1.512.5%1st Place
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6.12Yale University2.7110.5%1st Place
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10.8University of South Florida1.603.2%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University2.025.2%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.045.8%1st Place
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13.16University of Pennsylvania1.451.9%1st Place
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12.54Tufts University1.151.9%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.206.1%1st Place
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12.26North Carolina State University1.262.1%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Squires | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 20.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.