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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.92vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.30vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+1.28vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+5.29vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.45+4.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10+1.43vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-0.41vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-0.94vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-2.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.04-3.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.76vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.60-5.00vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-4.73vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.69-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Stanford University3.3016.2%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Naval Academy2.045.3%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.7511.7%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.719.6%1st Place
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11.29Bowdoin College1.512.5%1st Place
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11.98College of Charleston1.452.4%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University2.105.4%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.205.5%1st Place
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9.06Tulane University2.024.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.095.5%1st Place
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8.47Brown University2.045.5%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.1%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Pennsylvania1.451.7%1st Place
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11.0University of South Florida1.603.4%1st Place
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12.27North Carolina State University1.262.8%1st Place
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13.59Tufts University0.691.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Grace Squires | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.