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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+7.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+7.63vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+6.45vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.96vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.34vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60+4.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+4.54vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45+3.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.99vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-2.35vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.71-5.82vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.02-3.84vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.04vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.30-10.18vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.99vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.51-5.56vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.26-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University2.103.5%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.7511.9%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University2.387.3%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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12.54Tufts University1.151.9%1st Place
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12.02College of Charleston1.452.5%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.045.5%1st Place
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8.65Brown University2.044.8%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.7110.5%1st Place
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9.16Tulane University2.024.9%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.3%1st Place
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4.82Stanford University3.3016.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Pennsylvania1.452.2%1st Place
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11.44Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University1.262.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.9% |
| Grace Squires | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 21.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.