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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+7.41vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+5.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+3.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71+0.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75-1.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+4.40vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45+3.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.49vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.30-6.19vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.45+1.24vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-1.89vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.02-5.03vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-3.61vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.10-6.48vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.26-4.64vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Brown University2.046.3%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University2.388.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy2.045.5%1st Place
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8.69Georgetown University2.205.2%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.095.6%1st Place
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6.27Yale University2.719.0%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.7512.6%1st Place
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12.4Tufts University1.152.0%1st Place
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12.27College of Charleston1.452.4%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
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4.81Stanford University3.3015.6%1st Place
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13.24University of Pennsylvania1.451.9%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida1.602.4%1st Place
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8.97Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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12.36North Carolina State University1.262.3%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Grace Squires | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.6% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 21.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.