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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+10.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+5.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+3.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.96+2.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.550.00vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81+1.26vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34+2.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.13vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-3.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.30vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.84-6.69vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-5.16vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Stanford University2.6410.9%1st Place
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12.08Tufts University0.932.5%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University1.905.9%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.407.1%1st Place
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7.96Cornell University1.966.6%1st Place
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6.0Yale University2.5511.9%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston1.816.5%1st Place
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10.95Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.1%1st Place
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9.36Georgetown University1.866.2%1st Place
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7.91Brown University1.996.9%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida1.543.6%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania1.724.8%1st Place
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13.7U. S. Naval Academy0.521.2%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College1.845.0%1st Place
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11.84North Carolina State University1.092.5%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 27.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.