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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+6.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.64+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+5.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71+0.84vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90+0.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.82vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-1.55vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-0.59vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.84-3.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-1.84vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.34-4.15vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-7.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.49vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Boston College2.408.0%1st Place
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8.05Cornell University1.966.6%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.5510.9%1st Place
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6.37Stanford University2.6410.5%1st Place
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10.85University of South Florida1.543.6%1st Place
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7.76Brown University1.997.7%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania1.725.4%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College1.716.2%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University1.906.2%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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9.45Georgetown University1.865.1%1st Place
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11.41North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College1.844.9%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University0.932.3%1st Place
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10.85Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston1.816.5%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.1%1st Place
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13.83U. S. Naval Academy0.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| bella casaretto | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 16.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.