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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+7.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+5.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.73vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+3.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+0.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+0.96vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+2.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-0.87vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-2.81vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-2.71vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-1.68vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-3.00vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-5.04vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.07vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.74-4.92vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.05Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.94Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.58Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
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11.32Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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12.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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12.08Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.97Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Briana Provancha | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Corey Hall | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Liana Folger | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 20.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.