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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+6.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+5.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+6.00vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+5.06vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.64-1.63vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-0.17vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.09+1.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-1.53vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-1.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.99-5.26vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.84-4.34vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.96-6.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.56vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-7.98vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.52-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Boston College2.407.8%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston1.816.8%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University1.905.4%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.5511.3%1st Place
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11.0University of South Florida1.543.6%1st Place
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9.26University of Pennsylvania1.724.7%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
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6.37Stanford University2.6410.7%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College1.715.3%1st Place
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11.36North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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9.47Georgetown University1.864.7%1st Place
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10.84Tulane University1.343.3%1st Place
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7.74Brown University1.997.8%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College1.844.3%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University1.968.2%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.8%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.2%1st Place
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13.92U. S. Naval Academy0.521.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.