← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.65+10.91vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.23vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+3.34vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.27+3.81vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University0.93+3.23vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.00+2.78vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.17+0.95vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.17-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.11-0.97vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+3.04vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.44-3.62vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.30vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.69-3.71vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.50-4.42vs Predicted
-
15University of Southern California0.90-6.80vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.97-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.91Christopher Newport University0.652.2%1st Place
-
7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.6%1st Place
-
6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6810.5%1st Place
-
7.81Northwestern University1.276.5%1st Place
-
8.23Cornell University0.936.5%1st Place
-
8.78Connecticut College1.004.8%1st Place
-
7.95Fordham University1.176.6%1st Place
-
7.22Eckerd College1.178.3%1st Place
-
8.03Tufts University1.116.9%1st Place
-
13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.5%1st Place
-
7.38George Washington University1.449.1%1st Place
-
7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.2%1st Place
-
9.29Northeastern University0.695.0%1st Place
-
9.58SUNY Maritime College0.505.0%1st Place
-
8.2University of Southern California0.906.2%1st Place
-
7.31Boston University0.977.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| James Kopack | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| William Hurd | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Brayden Benesch | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 41.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Gavin Hudson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.