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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+7.04vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+11.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+5.84vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+2.86vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+2.02vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.70vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-0.21vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-3.82vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-3.87vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-4.26vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-2.85vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-3.49vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.71-3.74vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.90-5.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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13.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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5.07Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.51Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.26Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.45Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Liana Folger | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 20.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Corey Hall | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.