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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+8.08vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+4.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+5.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+1.06vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.96+1.90vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84+2.44vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99-0.17vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-0.12vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.34+0.90vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.54-0.07vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-2.45vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.09-1.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.34vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.73vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-3.87vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.58vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.81-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Harvard University1.905.1%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University2.6411.6%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.407.8%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania1.725.4%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.5511.3%1st Place
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7.9Cornell University1.967.6%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College1.845.4%1st Place
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7.83Brown University1.997.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College1.715.8%1st Place
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10.9Tulane University1.343.2%1st Place
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10.93University of South Florida1.544.5%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University1.864.5%1st Place
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11.3North Carolina State University1.093.2%1st Place
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13.66U. S. Naval Academy0.522.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.9%1st Place
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12.13Tufts University0.932.3%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston1.815.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| bella casaretto | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 27.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.