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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+7.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+3.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+2.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71+0.95vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+3.26vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-1.22vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22+0.29vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74+1.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-2.83vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.34vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-2.84vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-5.12vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.48-7.05vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.85-5.32vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.97Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.26Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.29College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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12.14Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.16Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.68Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.95Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Corey Hall | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Liana Folger | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 19.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.