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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+4.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.90vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+7.62vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+4.00vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+2.41vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79+2.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99-0.38vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+3.22vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.53vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-2.41vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-2.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.30vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.54-5.08vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.35vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.84-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Boston College2.407.2%1st Place
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6.47Stanford University2.6411.3%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.5512.8%1st Place
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11.62North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University1.906.6%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston1.816.2%1st Place
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9.25Cornell University1.794.9%1st Place
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7.62Brown University1.997.8%1st Place
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12.22Tufts University0.932.2%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College1.715.5%1st Place
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9.47University of Pennsylvania1.724.5%1st Place
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9.59Georgetown University1.864.7%1st Place
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10.79Tulane University1.343.3%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
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10.92University of South Florida1.544.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College1.845.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.0% |
| bella casaretto | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 18.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.