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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+7.28vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+4.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+6.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+3.92vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+1.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54+3.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.56vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-0.57vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34-0.04vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-3.10vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-4.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.00vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.79-5.86vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-3.71vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.21vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.09-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28College of Charleston1.816.8%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University2.6410.7%1st Place
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9.63Georgetown University1.865.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.406.9%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania1.724.9%1st Place
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7.73Brown University1.998.5%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.5511.5%1st Place
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11.0University of South Florida1.543.5%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Naval Academy1.183.2%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College1.845.7%1st Place
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10.96Tulane University1.343.2%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College1.715.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.4%1st Place
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9.14Cornell University1.795.2%1st Place
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12.29Tufts University0.932.5%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.5%1st Place
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11.47North Carolina State University1.092.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| bella casaretto | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.