← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.71+7.86vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.64+4.60vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.40+4.84vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.90+5.20vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.99+3.01vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.81+2.56vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.18+4.59vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.26vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.23vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.84-0.55vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University1.73-1.39vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.54-0.81vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.79-3.85vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.93-1.77vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.09-3.16vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University1.86-6.38vs Predicted
-
17Yale University2.55-10.84vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.86Dartmouth College1.715.7%1st Place
-
6.6Stanford University2.649.8%1st Place
-
7.84Boston College2.408.2%1st Place
-
9.2Harvard University1.905.1%1st Place
-
8.01Brown University1.997.7%1st Place
-
8.56College of Charleston1.816.3%1st Place
-
11.59U. S. Naval Academy1.183.9%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.3%1st Place
-
9.23University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
-
9.45Bowdoin College1.844.3%1st Place
-
9.61Tulane University1.734.8%1st Place
-
11.19University of South Florida1.543.5%1st Place
-
9.15Cornell University1.795.3%1st Place
-
12.23Tufts University0.932.6%1st Place
-
11.84North Carolina State University1.092.8%1st Place
-
9.62Georgetown University1.865.1%1st Place
-
6.16Yale University2.5511.6%1st Place
-
12.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ava Farley | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.