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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+4.02vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+6.48vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.79+5.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+7.86vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99+0.95vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-0.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.51vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.54-0.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-3.86vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-6.63vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.09-4.10vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.86-7.47vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.93-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Stanford University2.649.6%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.5512.2%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College1.844.2%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University1.796.1%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.0%1st Place
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9.6Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University1.997.3%1st Place
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7.91Boston College2.407.3%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy1.183.1%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University1.905.5%1st Place
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9.26University of Pennsylvania1.725.2%1st Place
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11.24University of South Florida1.543.5%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.7%1st Place
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8.37College of Charleston1.816.1%1st Place
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11.9North Carolina State University1.092.8%1st Place
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9.53Georgetown University1.865.7%1st Place
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12.25Tufts University0.932.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 19.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.