← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.67+7.36vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.51+3.04vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.74+4.96vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.71+7.94vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.45+3.97vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.48+2.91vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.71+0.87vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.87+3.42vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.20vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.23+0.22vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.48-1.94vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.85-0.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.92-5.99vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.55vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.22-5.10vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.90-4.56vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.09vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.74-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.36Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
5.04Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
-
7.96Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.94Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.97Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.91Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.87Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
11.42Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
7.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.22Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.06Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.86Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
7.01University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
12.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
9.9College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
11.44Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.86Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 17.6% |
| Corey Hall | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.