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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+11.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+7.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.30vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+2.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-0.27vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+2.49vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+1.77vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-4.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-2.30vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-5.06vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.05vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.23-6.91vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.90-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.2Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.480.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.93Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.85Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.77Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.7Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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12.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.15Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% |
| Corey Hall | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Liana Folger | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 21.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.