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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+8.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+6.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+5.05vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+7.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.64+1.46vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.66vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.96+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.37vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73+0.65vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.99-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.54+0.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.68vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.84-4.34vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.71-5.97vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.55-9.77vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.93-4.53vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.18-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18Harvard University1.905.2%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston1.815.9%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.407.0%1st Place
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11.79North Carolina State University1.093.8%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.6411.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University1.864.5%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University1.966.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania1.725.9%1st Place
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9.65Tulane University1.734.7%1st Place
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7.99Brown University1.997.3%1st Place
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11.03University of South Florida1.544.3%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.5%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College1.844.9%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College1.714.9%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.5511.5%1st Place
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12.47Tufts University0.932.6%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Naval Academy1.182.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 18.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| bella casaretto | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.9% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.