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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+8.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+8.27vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.04vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+2.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87+4.48vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+3.87vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23+0.86vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-1.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.10vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-2.75vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-1.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-2.14vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-6.14vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.18vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.02vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.90-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.27College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.87Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.86Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.05Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston College3.480.0%1st Place
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11.42Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.86Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.0%1st Place
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12.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.13Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Corey Hall | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Liana Folger | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 20.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.