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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+5.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+4.72vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+6.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+3.90vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.22vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+2.15vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99+1.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.85vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09+2.75vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-0.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.82vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.84-3.40vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.90-5.08vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.72-6.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.96-8.50vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.54-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Yale University2.5511.5%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University2.649.2%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University1.735.8%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.407.0%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston1.817.6%1st Place
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8.23Brown University1.997.3%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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11.75North Carolina State University1.093.3%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College1.715.7%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Naval Academy1.183.2%1st Place
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12.14Tufts University0.932.8%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College1.845.0%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University1.905.5%1st Place
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9.53Georgetown University1.864.7%1st Place
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9.28University of Pennsylvania1.724.8%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University1.966.2%1st Place
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11.37University of South Florida1.543.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 21.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% |
| bella casaretto | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.