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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+8.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+4.09vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+5.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+8.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.39vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.64+0.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.44vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71+0.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-2.05vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-1.39vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-0.42vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-4.46vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.54-3.75vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.90-6.85vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.20vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.93-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Bowdoin College1.844.6%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.5511.2%1st Place
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8.43Cornell University1.966.7%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.1%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.4%1st Place
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6.57Stanford University2.6410.2%1st Place
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8.05Brown University1.996.2%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania1.725.1%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
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7.95Boston College2.408.2%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University1.734.9%1st Place
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11.58North Carolina State University1.093.5%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston1.816.0%1st Place
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9.54Georgetown University1.865.1%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida1.543.6%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University1.905.5%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Naval Academy1.183.1%1st Place
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12.18Tufts University0.933.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 19.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.