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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+6.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+7.67vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+6.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.21vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+2.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.80vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33+0.04vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.88vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-1.08vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-3.46vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.19vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-2.81vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-1.53vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-5.39vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.33vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-3.67vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.21Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.05Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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11.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.92College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.19Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.47Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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13.33Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 25.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.