← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.40+7.10vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.72+7.37vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.64+3.71vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.86+5.57vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.90+3.99vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.96+2.12vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.54+4.39vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.99+0.20vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.20vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.93+2.23vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.55-5.03vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University1.73-2.24vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.34vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.40vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston1.81-6.54vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College1.71-6.86vs Predicted
-
17North Carolina State University1.09-5.10vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College1.84-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.1Boston College2.407.2%1st Place
-
9.37University of Pennsylvania1.725.2%1st Place
-
6.71Stanford University2.649.7%1st Place
-
9.57Georgetown University1.865.0%1st Place
-
8.99Harvard University1.905.7%1st Place
-
8.12Cornell University1.966.9%1st Place
-
11.39University of South Florida1.542.9%1st Place
-
8.2Brown University1.996.2%1st Place
-
9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.2%1st Place
-
12.23Tufts University0.932.2%1st Place
-
5.97Yale University2.5513.2%1st Place
-
9.76Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
-
12.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.5%1st Place
-
11.6U. S. Naval Academy1.183.1%1st Place
-
8.46College of Charleston1.816.8%1st Place
-
9.14Dartmouth College1.715.2%1st Place
-
11.9North Carolina State University1.093.6%1st Place
-
9.64Bowdoin College1.844.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.2% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| bella casaretto | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.