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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.35vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+5.32vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+4.25vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+2.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+4.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.60vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-0.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.34vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+0.15vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.07vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-4.68vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.24vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.06vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.25Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.93Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.76Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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12.94Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.08Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Erica Lush | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 19.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.