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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+2.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.39+1.85vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.26+4.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.83+1.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.12-0.89vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.27+0.51vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.32+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.29+2.90vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.47-0.42vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.50+1.22vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.08+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.85-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.54+0.24vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-0.93-4.03vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.72-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48College of Charleston1.6022.9%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy1.3917.0%1st Place
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7.91Washington College-0.263.6%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.5%1st Place
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4.11Drexel University1.1215.8%1st Place
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6.51Princeton University0.276.1%1st Place
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7.81Princeton University-0.323.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Delaware-1.291.5%1st Place
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8.58Princeton University-0.473.5%1st Place
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11.22Rutgers University-1.501.1%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-2.080.5%1st Place
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9.56University of Maryland-0.851.8%1st Place
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13.24University of Pittsburgh-2.540.4%1st Place
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9.97Unknown School-0.931.5%1st Place
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5.23Hampton University0.7210.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Weed | 22.9% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 17.0% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Seton Dill | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 9.7% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 24.5% | 28.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 46.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.