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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+8.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+5.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+4.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.19vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.67vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+2.24vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-1.08vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.51-2.38vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-0.18vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-2.13vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.37vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.98-4.62vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-1.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.10vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.07vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.33-10.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.24Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.92Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.82Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.2Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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12.93Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 22.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Erica Lush | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 20.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.