← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.37+6.57vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College4.05+3.42vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.87vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College4.06+1.55vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+1.87vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.12vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.29+1.07vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.98vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.61-1.93vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire1.81+2.63vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.96-1.76vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.10-3.40vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University3.31-4.98vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut1.72-1.04vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.53-5.49vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.70vs Predicted
-
20Wesleyan University-0.21-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.57University of Vermont3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
3.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
-
5.55Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
-
8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.07Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
-
7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.07Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
12.63University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
-
9.24Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
8.6Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
-
8.02Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
12.96University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.51Brown University2.530.0%1st Place
-
15.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
16.18Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hazelett | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 19.8% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Neal Drake | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Heussler | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schon | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 26.2% | 16.8% | 3.9% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 14.2% | 40.5% | 28.2% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 21.6% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.