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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+8.70vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.20+6.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+6.47vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+3.91vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+3.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.11+2.77vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.09vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.24vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.02vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.17-1.27vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.97-2.81vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-3.85vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.27-4.36vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.93-4.97vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.60-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.70-5.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Northeastern University1.594.5%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.205.9%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.8%1st Place
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7.91Eckerd College1.176.3%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont1.057.3%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University1.116.7%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.688.5%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.7%1st Place
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12.02SUNY Maritime College-0.022.9%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.176.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston University0.976.8%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University1.447.9%1st Place
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8.64Northwestern University1.276.4%1st Place
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9.03Cornell University0.935.1%1st Place
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10.93Christopher Newport University0.603.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Southern California0.703.9%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Brayden Benesch | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| James Kopack | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 24.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% |
| Cameron Berry | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.