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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.38vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+8.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+7.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.34vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+7.60vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.48vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+3.67vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.75vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-0.87vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.05vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.67vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-3.27vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.09vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.83vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-5.40vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-2.68vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.20-8.19vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.71-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.56Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.6Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.67Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.13Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.91Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.32Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Erica Lush | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 23.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.