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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+2.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.83+3.08vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.27+3.36vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.47+4.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.39-1.18vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.50+4.23vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.26-0.14vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.12-4.79vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.93-0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.85-1.49vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.08+0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.29-1.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.54-0.64vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43College of Charleston1.6023.5%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.8%1st Place
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6.36Princeton University0.277.1%1st Place
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8.63Princeton University-0.472.9%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy1.3917.8%1st Place
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5.33Hampton University0.729.2%1st Place
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11.23Rutgers University-1.500.7%1st Place
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7.86Washington College-0.264.2%1st Place
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4.21Drexel University1.1215.8%1st Place
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9.78Unknown School-0.931.7%1st Place
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9.51University of Maryland-0.851.7%1st Place
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12.47Monmouth University-2.080.7%1st Place
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11.01University of Delaware-1.290.8%1st Place
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13.36University of Pittsburgh-2.540.1%1st Place
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7.92Princeton University-0.322.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Weed | 23.5% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Martin | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 8.8% |
| Matthew Collinson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Toby Sullivan | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 24.9% | 26.7% |
| Seton Dill | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 7.4% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 49.4% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.