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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+2.38vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.39+0.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.83+1.27vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.26+3.19vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.12-1.69vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72-1.65vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.47+0.92vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-1.04vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.93+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.67-1.74vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.08+0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.29-1.95vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.72-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-2.54-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38College of Charleston1.6023.7%1st Place
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6.64Princeton University0.275.5%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy1.3918.2%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.9%1st Place
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8.19Washington College-0.263.6%1st Place
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4.31Drexel University1.1214.1%1st Place
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5.35Hampton University0.728.9%1st Place
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8.92Princeton University-0.472.4%1st Place
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7.96Princeton University-0.323.9%1st Place
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10.04Unknown School-0.931.6%1st Place
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9.26University of Maryland-0.672.9%1st Place
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12.66Monmouth University-2.080.6%1st Place
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11.05University of Delaware-1.291.2%1st Place
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9.61Rutgers University-0.722.5%1st Place
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13.53University of Pittsburgh-2.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Weed | 23.7% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Martin | 18.2% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Toby Sullivan | 14.1% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 27.0% | 28.2% |
| Seton Dill | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 20.4% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.