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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+9.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+6.56vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+6.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.16vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+4.60vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+2.15vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.73vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98+0.64vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-1.22vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-2.90vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.35vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-2.75vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.08vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.93Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.1Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.25Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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12.92Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.8% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 22.9% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 20.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.