← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.39+2.78vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University1.12+2.31vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.60+0.56vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.72+1.27vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.27+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.47+2.76vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.83-1.66vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.32+0.01vs Predicted
-
9Washington College-0.26-0.79vs Predicted
-
10Unknown School-0.93-0.07vs Predicted
-
11University of Delaware-1.29-0.01vs Predicted
-
12Rutgers University-0.72-2.39vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland-0.67-3.67vs Predicted
-
14University of Pittsburgh-2.54-0.49vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-2.08-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78U. S. Naval Academy1.3919.4%1st Place
-
4.31Drexel University1.1216.2%1st Place
-
3.56College of Charleston1.6020.3%1st Place
-
5.27Hampton University0.7210.0%1st Place
-
6.59Princeton University0.276.5%1st Place
-
8.76Princeton University-0.472.8%1st Place
-
5.34U. S. Naval Academy0.839.2%1st Place
-
8.01Princeton University-0.323.5%1st Place
-
8.21Washington College-0.263.7%1st Place
-
9.93Unknown School-0.931.9%1st Place
-
10.99University of Delaware-1.290.9%1st Place
-
9.61Rutgers University-0.722.1%1st Place
-
9.33University of Maryland-0.672.8%1st Place
-
13.51University of Pittsburgh-2.540.4%1st Place
-
12.81Monmouth University-2.080.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 19.4% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 20.3% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Margo Cicero | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 2.5% |
| Seton Dill | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 9.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Charlie Bullock | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 19.1% | 51.2% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 27.4% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.