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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+9.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+6.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.32vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+6.52vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+3.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+3.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+1.53vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21+3.81vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-3.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-2.73vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.18vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09+0.09vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.84vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.38vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.07vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-8.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.71-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.52Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.81Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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13.09Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.22Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 18.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 22.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.