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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.39+2.79vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.12+2.18vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+2.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60-0.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.83+0.06vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.27+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29+3.67vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.47+0.73vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-1.21vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.26-2.12vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.08+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.85-2.39vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.93-3.12vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.50-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-2.54-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79U. S. Naval Academy1.3918.3%1st Place
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4.18Drexel University1.1215.2%1st Place
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5.21Hampton University0.7211.4%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston1.6021.1%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Naval Academy0.8311.1%1st Place
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6.52Princeton University0.275.7%1st Place
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10.67University of Delaware-1.291.5%1st Place
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8.73Princeton University-0.473.2%1st Place
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7.79Princeton University-0.324.1%1st Place
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7.88Washington College-0.263.5%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-2.080.6%1st Place
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9.61University of Maryland-0.851.7%1st Place
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9.88Unknown School-0.931.6%1st Place
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11.23Rutgers University-1.500.9%1st Place
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13.35University of Pittsburgh-2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 18.3% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 21.1% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Seton Dill | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 6.8% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 24.9% | 27.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 9.4% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 18.8% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.