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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+2.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.39+1.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.83+2.08vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27+2.36vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72+0.26vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.12-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.85+2.51vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.26+0.03vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-1.13vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.47-1.25vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.93-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.29-1.24vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.50-1.79vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.08-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Pittsburgh-2.54-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46College of Charleston1.6022.4%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy1.3917.8%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.8%1st Place
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6.36Princeton University0.276.1%1st Place
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5.26Hampton University0.729.8%1st Place
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4.18Drexel University1.1216.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Maryland-0.851.9%1st Place
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8.03Washington College-0.263.5%1st Place
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7.87Princeton University-0.324.2%1st Place
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8.75Princeton University-0.472.4%1st Place
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9.92Unknown School-0.932.3%1st Place
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10.76University of Delaware-1.291.1%1st Place
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11.21Rutgers University-1.500.9%1st Place
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12.57Monmouth University-2.080.2%1st Place
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13.23University of Pittsburgh-2.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Weed | 22.4% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 17.8% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 16.0% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.9% |
| Seton Dill | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 10.7% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 26.2% | 26.2% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.