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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.40vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+6.20vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+6.73vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+2.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+1.36vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+2.33vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.63vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.51-2.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21+1.90vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-0.91vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.56vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.43vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.98-7.19vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.2Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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12.9Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.93Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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13.06Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Erica Lush | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.