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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.39+2.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.83+2.25vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.12+0.16vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.27+1.53vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72-0.56vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.72+2.54vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.47+0.63vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.26-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.85-0.27vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.93-1.01vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.29-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.54+0.54vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.08-1.31vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.32-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy1.3918.7%1st Place
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3.53College of Charleston1.6020.1%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy0.839.4%1st Place
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4.16Drexel University1.1216.2%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University0.277.3%1st Place
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5.44Hampton University0.729.0%1st Place
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9.54Rutgers University-0.722.4%1st Place
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8.63Princeton University-0.473.3%1st Place
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8.1Washington College-0.263.5%1st Place
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9.73University of Maryland-0.852.2%1st Place
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9.99Unknown School-0.931.8%1st Place
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10.96University of Delaware-1.291.5%1st Place
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13.54University of Pittsburgh-2.540.2%1st Place
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12.69Monmouth University-2.080.4%1st Place
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8.04Princeton University-0.324.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 18.7% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 20.1% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Seton Dill | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 8.8% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 21.6% | 50.1% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 26.7% | 29.1% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.