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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+7.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+5.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+6.71vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+6.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+1.41vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+3.35vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+1.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09+4.25vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73+0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-0.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-1.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-6.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-4.79vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.34vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-7.92vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.10vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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11.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.35Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.25Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.45Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.08Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.9Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 21.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 20.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.