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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.12+3.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.83+3.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.39+0.88vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+1.42vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60-1.43vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32+1.89vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.27-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.85+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.29+2.04vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.93+0.08vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.72-1.60vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.26-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.54+0.46vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.08-1.31vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.47-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Drexel University1.1216.2%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.8%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Naval Academy1.3917.5%1st Place
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5.42Hampton University0.729.0%1st Place
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3.57College of Charleston1.6020.2%1st Place
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7.89Princeton University-0.324.8%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University0.275.9%1st Place
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9.78University of Maryland-0.851.8%1st Place
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11.04University of Delaware-1.291.4%1st Place
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10.08Unknown School-0.931.7%1st Place
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9.4Rutgers University-0.722.6%1st Place
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8.0Washington College-0.263.8%1st Place
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13.46University of Pittsburgh-2.540.5%1st Place
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12.69Monmouth University-2.080.6%1st Place
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8.83Princeton University-0.473.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Sullivan | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Martin | 17.5% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Weed | 20.2% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Seton Dill | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 7.8% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 20.0% | 51.6% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 29.9% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.