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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.81vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+7.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+5.20vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+4.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+5.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.42vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-0.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.85vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35+2.41vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.42vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.69-1.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.36-6.20vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin4.10-5.96vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.43-8.41vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.68-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.51-6.25vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan2.86-4.77vs Predicted
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20Hampton University-1.31-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.81Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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11.17College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.58Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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12.41Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.27Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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19.87Hampton University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 0.5% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 25.5% | 0.8% |
| Athnel George | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.