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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.39+2.85vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+4.37vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+2.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60-0.51vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.12-0.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.83-0.92vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93+2.97vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.26+0.05vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-1.21vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.50+1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.85-1.24vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.47-3.39vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.08-0.54vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.54-0.70vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.29-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy1.3918.6%1st Place
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6.37Princeton University0.276.1%1st Place
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5.23Hampton University0.729.8%1st Place
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3.49College of Charleston1.6022.1%1st Place
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4.21Drexel University1.1215.2%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy0.8311.2%1st Place
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9.97Unknown School-0.931.4%1st Place
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8.05Washington College-0.263.6%1st Place
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7.79Princeton University-0.323.9%1st Place
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11.1Rutgers University-1.501.5%1st Place
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9.76University of Maryland-0.851.6%1st Place
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8.61Princeton University-0.472.9%1st Place
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12.46Monmouth University-2.080.5%1st Place
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13.3University of Pittsburgh-2.540.4%1st Place
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10.73University of Delaware-1.291.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Martin | 18.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 22.1% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 10.1% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Hughes | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 24.3% | 27.2% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 48.4% |
| Seton Dill | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.