← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.43+6.59vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami3.99+6.72vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.19+4.65vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University4.08+4.09vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.35+6.49vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin4.10+0.88vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University4.36-1.21vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.64+1.17vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College4.06-1.68vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University4.01-2.34vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan2.86+1.65vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University4.74-7.73vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.07vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.89vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii3.68-6.26vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.51-6.27vs Predicted
-
19Brown University3.69-8.13vs Predicted
-
20Hampton University-1.31-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.59Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.72University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
8.65Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.09Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.49Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
8.88University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.79Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
11.17College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
9.32Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
9.66Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
14.65University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
6.27Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
10.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.74University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
-
11.73University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
10.87Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
-
19.87Hampton University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 28.3% | 1.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 0.4% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Athnel George | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 97.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.