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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+4.35vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.85+6.58vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.93+5.80vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.12-0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.83-0.88vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.27-0.52vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.32-0.16vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.47-0.41vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.26-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.29-0.26vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.50-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.54+0.40vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.08-1.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.39-11.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Hampton University0.729.0%1st Place
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3.45College of Charleston1.6022.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Maryland-0.852.5%1st Place
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9.8Unknown School-0.931.8%1st Place
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4.16Drexel University1.1214.9%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.2%1st Place
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6.48Princeton University0.275.8%1st Place
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7.84Princeton University-0.323.8%1st Place
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8.59Princeton University-0.473.4%1st Place
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7.92Washington College-0.264.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Delaware-1.291.1%1st Place
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11.22Rutgers University-1.501.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Pittsburgh-2.540.1%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-2.080.8%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy1.3919.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefano Palamara | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Jonathan Weed | 22.1% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Brian Zagalsky | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
Luke Plecinoga | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
Toby Sullivan | 14.9% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Margo Cicero | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jasper Waldman | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Bryan Lawrence | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
Matthew Collinson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Seton Dill | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 7.2% |
Marlon Wool | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 10.4% |
Aiden Zurcher | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 47.9% |
Isabella Hughes | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 27.8% |
Teddy Martin | 19.4% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.