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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+8.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+5.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+4.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74+0.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+2.56vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+1.37vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51+1.70vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-2.64vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.64-1.52vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.43-6.49vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-4.13vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.86-1.71vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.19vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.35-5.57vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii3.68-8.14vs Predicted
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20Hampton University-1.31-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.48College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.87Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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12.43Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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19.88Hampton University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 0.6% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 27.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael Grove | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Athnel George | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.