Race 11A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Teddy Martin 19.6% 18.9% 15.0% 13.7% 11.5% 8.8% 5.4% 4.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Margo Cicero 9.8% 11.1% 11.3% 12.8% 11.9% 10.7% 11.7% 9.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 9.4% 9.8% 10.7% 12.9% 12.2% 11.7% 10.6% 8.9% 6.8% 3.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Bryan Lawrence 3.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.9% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 11.9% 11.0% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Jonathan Weed 21.4% 17.8% 18.1% 12.7% 10.0% 9.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 15.8% 15.3% 14.8% 13.2% 12.2% 9.6% 7.8% 5.5% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 10.5% 12.0% 11.9% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 0.7%
Jasper Waldman 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 8.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.8% 12.2% 10.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Luke Plecinoga 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 7.4% 9.7% 11.7% 13.8% 16.5% 13.6% 3.8%
Nicholas Lorenzen 3.4% 3.2% 3.6% 3.8% 5.3% 6.3% 8.5% 9.2% 12.7% 11.8% 12.8% 11.8% 6.3% 1.5%
Anish Jayewardene 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 6.6% 8.3% 9.8% 13.4% 13.8% 16.2% 9.8% 3.0%
Brian Zagalsky 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 6.0% 7.3% 10.4% 12.3% 14.6% 16.4% 9.8% 3.0%
Aiden Zurcher 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 5.0% 8.1% 21.3% 53.9%
Isabella Hughes 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 5.4% 7.0% 10.5% 30.4% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.