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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+7.47vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.20+7.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.11+5.95vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+3.14vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.84vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.97+2.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02+5.13vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+0.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.75vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.60+0.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-1.45vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.17-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.70-2.61vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.27-5.45vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.93-5.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-6.58vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.44-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47Fordham University1.176.7%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College1.205.8%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University1.115.7%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.689.5%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.277.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University0.977.1%1st Place
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12.13SUNY Maritime College-0.021.8%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont1.055.5%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.2%1st Place
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10.91Christopher Newport University0.603.3%1st Place
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9.55Northeastern University1.595.1%1st Place
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8.05Eckerd College1.177.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Southern California0.703.8%1st Place
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8.55Northwestern University1.276.4%1st Place
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9.23Cornell University0.935.5%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.5%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University1.448.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| James Kopack | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 23.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Berry | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Jake Weinstein | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.