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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+5.32vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+7.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+8.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.63vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+6.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43+0.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.36-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.18vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.680.00vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.99-3.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-4.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-4.10vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-8.62vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.06-7.95vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.86-3.59vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.35-6.68vs Predicted
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20Hampton University-1.31-0.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.27College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.63Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.18University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.9Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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7.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.32Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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19.87Hampton University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 0.5% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 27.4% | 0.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 0.3% |
| Athnel George | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.