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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+8.05vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+7.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+6.88vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.68+5.88vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.32vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06+1.02vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-2.73vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-0.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35+1.45vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.43-4.23vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.86+1.61vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-2.94vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.93vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-4.34vs Predicted
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17University of Miami3.99-7.59vs Predicted
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18Harvard University4.36-10.03vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-9.21vs Predicted
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20Hampton University-1.31-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.88Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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7.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.45Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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14.61University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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11.06College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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19.86Hampton University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 27.6% | 1.0% |
| Mac Mace | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Athnel George | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 97.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.