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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+9.27vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.88+6.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.45vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.73vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+1.76vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.67-2.98vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+2.51vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.93-2.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-1.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.30-6.22vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.61vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.19-0.34vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.43-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-7.04vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.94-5.90vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.98-3.53vs Predicted
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20Hampton University0.19-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.27University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.76Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.02Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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11.51Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.95College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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6.78Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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15.61University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.1Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Michigan1.980.0%1st Place
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19.06Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Evan Aras | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 22.8% | 8.8% |
| Mike Hanson | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 4.9% |
| Alex Olt | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 3.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Kirsten Corneliussen | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.