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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+8.35vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.67+2.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+4.48vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.55vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.76vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05+1.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-2.01vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.19+2.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.66-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.430.00vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.93-7.09vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.48vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.98-1.63vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-7.85vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.94-6.99vs Predicted
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20Hampton University0.19-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.62Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.93University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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15.52University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Michigan1.980.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.01Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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19.07Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Evan Aras | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hanson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 4.4% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 3.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 8.5% |
| Kirsten Corneliussen | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 6.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 10.4% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.