← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin3.36+9.21vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.88+6.09vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.80+5.60vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College4.05+3.42vs Predicted
-
5Brown University4.30+1.46vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.70+2.97vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University4.67-1.67vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.83vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.29vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.05+1.66vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.93-3.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont3.41-1.68vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University3.67-3.65vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii2.19+0.84vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.83vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.94-4.01vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.54vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.98-2.42vs Predicted
-
19University of Miami2.43-5.06vs Predicted
-
20Hampton University0.19-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.21University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.09Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.6Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.46Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.97Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
5.33Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
-
8.83U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
-
7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
11.66Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.99College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
10.32University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
-
9.35Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
14.84University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
11.99Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
15.46University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
-
15.58University of Michigan1.980.0%1st Place
-
13.94University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
-
19.07Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cook | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Evan Aras | 12.3% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Hanson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 4.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 6.9% |
| Kirsten Corneliussen | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 8.2% |
| Alex Olt | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.