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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.67+4.21vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+4.41vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-0.98vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-0.97vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.19+3.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-1.71vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.98+1.47vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-3.45vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-7.58vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.43-3.06vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.94-5.92vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.49vs Predicted
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20Hampton University0.19-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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15.47University of Michigan1.980.0%1st Place
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11.55Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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13.94University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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12.08Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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19.09Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Aras | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mike Hanson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 4.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kirsten Corneliussen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 7.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 2.4% |
| Michael Saldi | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 8.1% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.