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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+5.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.66+7.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.26vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.67+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+4.48vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.81vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.88-0.04vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.93-1.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-1.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-2.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-2.74vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-1.45vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-2.61vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.43-3.05vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.98-2.34vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii2.19-4.19vs Predicted
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20Hampton University0.19-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University4.670.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.56Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.55Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.39Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Michigan1.980.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
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19.09Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Aras | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Burd | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 7.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Olt | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Kirsten Corneliussen | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 7.4% |
| Mike Hanson | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 4.4% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.