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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.67+4.22vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.62vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+4.02vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.70+3.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+5.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+2.22vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.98+5.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.83vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.88-3.64vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.64vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.19-0.28vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-8.47vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-7.00vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.13-6.52vs Predicted
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19University of Miami2.43-4.99vs Predicted
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20Hampton University0.19-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.96Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.34Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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15.58University of Michigan1.980.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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15.64University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Hawaii2.190.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.48Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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19.09Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Aras | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kirsten Corneliussen | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 6.8% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 9.0% |
| Mike Hanson | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Alex Olt | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.