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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+5.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+6.72vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+4.49vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+7.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.33+4.17vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.03+4.12vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.85+3.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.43vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.11-0.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.93vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.29-4.17vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.56-5.98vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.10-5.22vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.69-4.48vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.44-8.65vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.44-2.05vs Predicted
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19Hampton University0.60-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston3.330.0%1st Place
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10.12Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.72Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Hawaii3.290.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.78Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.52Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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15.95University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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17.4Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| William Sands | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Collin Leon | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| John Wallace | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| James Foster | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jason Michas | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Gowell | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Jau | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 28.8% | 24.8% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 15.3% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.