← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.62+4.80vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.14+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.07+4.78vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+4.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.40+0.36vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.80+3.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.24+4.37vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+0.41vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-0.49vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University0.94-2.00vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College0.85-3.17vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University-0.38+1.79vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University0.70-4.15vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.52-2.16vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-5.26vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.73-7.27vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.8Fordham University1.6211.8%1st Place
-
7.05Boston University1.148.6%1st Place
-
7.78Northeastern University1.078.0%1st Place
-
8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.006.0%1st Place
-
5.36University of Southern California1.4013.9%1st Place
-
9.25Tufts University0.804.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
-
8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.865.6%1st Place
-
8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.1%1st Place
-
8.0Cornell University0.946.7%1st Place
-
7.83Eckerd College0.856.2%1st Place
-
13.79Northwestern University-0.381.4%1st Place
-
8.85George Washington University0.705.0%1st Place
-
11.84Connecticut College0.522.1%1st Place
-
9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.645.1%1st Place
-
8.73Christopher Newport University0.735.8%1st Place
-
12.49SUNY Maritime College-0.132.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Harris | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| George Warfel | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 35.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Luke Barker | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.