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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.79+1.40vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.02-0.20vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+0.62vs Predicted
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6American University0.05-2.57vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.20-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Virginia0.7934.0%1st Place
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4.26William and Mary-0.189.8%1st Place
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4.66University of Maryland-0.698.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Virginia0.0213.6%1st Place
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5.62Catholic University of America-1.274.9%1st Place
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3.43American University0.0515.7%1st Place
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3.82Virginia Tech-0.2013.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 34.0% | 26.4% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sam Dutilly | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 12.3% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 23.4% | 19.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 13.6% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 47.9% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.7% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Hale | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.