← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami3.69+6.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.68+9.66vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.74vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.11+5.84vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.33+4.13vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.59vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.64+0.67vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.03+2.33vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.56-1.28vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii3.29-1.07vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.69+0.59vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.10-1.73vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan1.44+2.66vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.82vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.37-6.39vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin2.85-5.20vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University0.60+0.53vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.63-10.58vs Predicted
-
19Georgetown University3.44-11.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.36University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
11.66University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
9.84Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
-
9.13College of Charleston3.330.0%1st Place
-
10.59U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.67Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
10.33Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
-
7.72Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.93University of Hawaii3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.59Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
10.27Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
-
15.66University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
-
10.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.61Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.8University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
-
17.53Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
-
7.42University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.97Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hernandez | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| William Sands | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Collin Leon | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Foster | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Jason Michas | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Lawrence Jau | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 32.1% | 22.4% |
| John Wallace | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| William Hutchings | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 16.0% | 63.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gowell | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.